岩溶隧道风险等级模糊综合评价

为了获得已探明有溶洞存在时的隧道发生涌水突泥的风险等级,针对叙大铁路有溶洞存在的中坝隧道,选取了针对性的指标体系:溶洞规模,建立了相应的模糊综合评价模型,并采用层次分析法计算各项风险指标的权重,从而得出在有溶洞存在时这一特定条件下,隧道发生涌水突泥风险级别。     

OGFC混合料设计参数影响因素研究

近年来有关专家学者对OGFC沥青混合料的物理及力学性能差异性研究较多,但对相应的成型因素对设计参数的影响研究较少。为此,针对OGFC-13混合料成型因素对其性能影响,进行了较为系统的研究。结果表明:对改性沥青拌制的OGFC混合料而言,最佳的施工温度应尽量控制在160~180℃之间;采用同一级配时,油石比的变化对马歇尔指标变化也有一定的影响;击实75次是临界值。     

中美PHEV能耗评价方法对比研究

研究了中国和美国对于插电式混合动力乘用车( PHEV)油耗与电耗的评价方法。通过从测试标准与指标计算两方面进行对比,指出了我国现行PHEV能耗评价方法中的不足,包括PHEV能耗标签的缺失、不能获得混合式PHEV的续驶里程和未考虑出行特征对PHEV能耗的影响等。最后提出了加强出行特征研究以完善我国PHEV能耗评价方法的建议。     

广州市与世界级城市交通模式辨析

中国城市常借鉴国外发展经验来制定城市交通战略,但缺乏对国内外城市交通特征的准确辨析。城市交通特征应反映主动出行者与被动出行者的区别。首先比较广州市与世界级城市的出行方式构成和出行特点,指出广州市的公共交通出行者大多为无驾驶执照或未购置小汽车的人群。针对公共交通出行分担率单一指标的弊端,引入公共交通出行指数与机动化水平来表征城市公共交通发展程度。评价广州市及世界级城市公共交通发展水平,并据此划分9类交通模式。结果显示,广州市公共交通服务水平和机动化水平均处于初级阶段。最后,分析广州市交通模式升级转型的最佳路线及实施策略,指出公共交通出行分担率与机动化水平的矛盾与协调是制定交通发展战略时需要考虑的关键所在。     

地质雷达在海堤围堰爆破挤淤施工效果检测中的应用

结合连云港连云新城金海三期东围堰工程,探讨采用地质雷达方法评估围堰爆破挤淤的效果。通过对雷达图像的解释和分析,获得围堰抛石的具体范围及深度,为爆破挤淤的效果提供评价依据,表明地质雷达对爆破挤淤的探测是行之有效的,提出的介电常数选取范围可供类似工程借鉴。     

水上振冲法在低强度饱和黏性土地基处理中的应用

以大连港东部地区搬迁改造项目游艇码头工程的地基处理为例,通过对工程试验区的研究,提出了合理的设计标准和施工工艺方法。通过对碎石桩质量检测的研究,提出了通过沉箱压载试验和重型动力触探相结合的方式对碎石桩质量进行检测,分析了该项目中碎石桩成桩效果,总结了水上振冲法在低强度饱和黏性土中的工程经验及质量检测标准。     

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海上运输关键节点安全评价研究是保障我国海上运输通道安全的重要环节,为科学全面评价我国海上运输关键节点的安全状况,本文建立评价指标体系,引入投影寻踪方法构建安全评价模型,通过遗传算法求解,对关键节点的安全状况进行评价,并挖掘相关海峡的主要安全威胁。评价结果表明,涉及我国重要物资如石油、集装箱运输的霍尔木兹海峡、马六甲海峡、曼德海峡及苏伊士运河的安全水平相对较低,而且印尼地区的龙目海峡、巽他海峡及望加锡海峡的安全状况也相对较差。评价结果为我国制定保障海上运输安全措施及做出相关管理决策提供科学依据,对提高我国海上运输安全性与可靠性具有重要意义。     

川藏公路地质灾害危险性评价

针对川藏公路沿线的地理环境选取了公路沿线灾害体、暴雨、年均降雨量、路基位置、岩性条件、地貌类型、地震烈度、年均温度、植被覆盖率、地质构造等10个地质灾害危险性评价指标,采用专家系统法赋值,通过层次分析方法确定指标权重,据此提出了川藏公路地质灾害危险性评价模型.在GIS技术支持下,建立了川藏公路地质灾害危险性评价数据库....     

细粒式SMA-5级配组成设计研究

针对目前规范中缺少细粒式SMA-5的级配设计,分别以2.36 mm和1.18 mm作为粗细集料分界筛孔,分析了SMA-5的体积指标参数特性;通过体积指标特性分析和路用性能试验,确定了SMA-5级配的粗细集料控制筛孔及通过率;结果证明马歇尔稳定度与流值不适合作为SMA配合比设计的关键控制指标,矿料间隙率VMA及VCAmix受级配变化的影响大于受沥青用量的影响,VCADRC值随着级配的增粗略微增大,试验用混合料级配对压实功的变化不敏感,采用双面击实75次的击实标准可行,推荐以2.36 mm作为SMA-5粗细集料的分界筛孔,通过率宜控制在28%~40%范围之内。     

Do driver training programs reduce crashes and traffic violations? — A critical examination of the literature

This paper reviews the evaluation literature on the effectiveness of classroom and behind-the-wheel driver training. The primary focus is on North America programs as originally taught in high schools but now also by private instructors. Studies from the United Kingdom, Australia, New Zealand and Scandinavia are also included.By far the most rigorous study to date was the experimental study in DeKalb, Georgia, U.S.A. This study used a randomized design including a control group and a very large sample size to provide reasonable statistical precision. I reexamine the DeKalb data in detail and conclude that the study did show evidence of small short-term crash and violation reductions per licensed driver. However, when the accelerated licensure caused by the training is allowed to influence the crash and violation counts, there is evidence of a net increase in crashes.The other studies reviewed present a mixed picture but the better designed quasi-experimental evaluations usually showed no effects on crash rates but almost all suffer from inadequate sample size. I show that as many as 35,000 drivers would be required in a two group design to reliably detect a 10% reduction in crash rates.The advent of GDL laws in North America and other countries has largely remedied the concern over accelerated licensure of high risk teenage drivers by delaying the progress to full licensure. Conventional driver training programs in the U.S. (30 h classroom and 6 h on-the-road) probably reduce per licensed driver crash rates by as little as 5% over the first 6-12 months of driving. The possibility of an effect closer to 0 cannot be dismissed.Some GDLs contain an incentive for applicants to complete an advanced driver training program in return for shortening the provisional period of the GDL. The results of Canadian studies indicate that any effects of the driver training component are not sufficient to offset the increase in accidents due to increased exposure.There is no evidence or reason to believe that merely lengthening the number of hours on the road will increase effectiveness. Programs directed toward attitude change and risk taking better address the underlying cause of the elevated crash risk of young drivers but these behaviors are notoriously resistant to modification in young people.